ANSWERS: 2
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Pascal's Wager is about believing in god It's about positive expectation (a gambling term) It says (sort of) - That if you believe in God, and God exists - your gain is infinite If you believe in God, but God does not exist, you have lost nothing, your gain is zero If you don't believe in God, and God does not exist, then you have gained nothing, your gain is zero If you don't believe in God, but God does exist, your loss is infinite So - to sum up - the better gamble is to believe in God, because it has the highest expectation did that make sense?
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Pascal assumed 2 positions for belief. 1) you believe 2) you don't believe and he then assumed there were two possibilities 1) God exists 2) God does not exist. Well said Pascal in a triumph (he thought) of logic here are the options: 1) God exists and you believe 2) God does not exist and you believe 3) God exists and you do not believe 4) God does not exists and you do not believe so the four possible outcomes are 1) Result! Eternal paradise 2) No loss 3) Eternal damnation! 4) No loss He then said "well if you DON'T believe then your chances are 50/50 for awfulness or no loss but if you believe your chances are 50/50 for greatness or no loss. So best to believe as that will leave you in the best position whatever is true!" Pascal was a great mathematician and it always baffles me that he proposed such an obviously weak argument. Basically Pascal makes a number of mistakes. He assumes false dichotomies in that there are tow options "god exists" or "God does not exist". What Pascal fails on is - which God? Sure the Christian God may give you paradise if you believe in him but suppose you die and there is Zeus looking down on you in judgement? "errrr.. close enough?" will probably not cut it. So Pascal's ruse of presenting this as only a couple of simple options is not correct. He should have to consider each and every possibility and since some are mutually exclusive, how are you going to cover all bases? SO the wager collapses as a piece of clever logic as there are multiple options on which God to follow, indeed on which SCHISM of God's true religion never mind just the correct supreme being's name. Next is the killer "Did you have pure faith my son?" - "errr.... no not really, all-knowing Lord. I just decided this was the best bet option" - "best bet? why you smart alec little... Hell for you for trying to fool your God!" Terry Pratchett did a brilliant variation. you can't prove Gods are false. So best to believe in the to be on the safe side. Said Philosopher wakes up after dying surrounded by ALL the gods. With baseball bats. Who say "this is what we do to Mr. Clever Dick in these parts...."
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