ANSWERS: 3
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How would you calculate such a probability? Going to the moon, or not, was a singe event. You can only calculate probabilities when you have hundreds or thousands of similar events, such a seaths, fires or crashes.
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The probabilty of a fake is 10 billion to one. There is film, physical evidence, and eyewitness testimony. It happened. Plus, with a powerful telescope, you can still see the Lunar Rover still up there.
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The probability of an event which actually occurred is 100%. The probability of a nutty theory being true in the face of hard evidence as well as a reflector that they set up there so we can measure the distance from the earth to the moon in real time is virtually zero.
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