by mysticdeliria on February 3rd, 2007

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How often are the Groundhogs right? Should I be hopeful for an early spring this year?

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by LynfromNM on February 3rd, 2007
On one of the morning news shows (possibly Good Morning America) the host said the groundhog is right 30% of the time.
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- Doesn't look good, then
  
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  by mysticdeliria on February 4th, 2007
- maybe in 30% of the US?
  
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  by LynfromNM on February 4th, 2007
- What if it's Al Roker though!?!?!
  
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  by Kevisaurus is a Carnotaurus today on December 17th, 2007
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by - retroglide - on February 3rd, 2007
Groundhog Day organizers brag that their groundhog forecasts are 70 to 90 percent accurate, but meteorological records prove that the groundhog's success rates are pretty low. Dr. Philips study of weather data for the past 30 to 40 years for 13 cities across Canada shows that there was an equal number of cloudy and sunny days on February 2nd. During that time, the groundhog's predictions were, on average, 37 percent accurate. For nearly two-thirds of the years the groundhog's predictions were wrong. Given that 33 percent accuracy can happen by chance, an average of 37 percent is not a lot.
http://www.learner.org/jnorth/1997/critters/everywhere/ghog/accuracy.html
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- again, is this your photograph?
  
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  by Anonymous on February 3rd, 2007
- AGAIN! YES lol :) I have answered you three times. Don't you believe me? lol
  
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  by - retroglide - on February 3rd, 2007
- Well, that's disappointing! Thanks for the informative answer
  
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  by mysticdeliria on February 4th, 2007
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by Darryl61 on February 3rd, 2007
Take your best guess. This year, even all of the so-called "famous groundhogs" couldn't agree.
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- I thought the weather network said "all 3 groundhogs" agreed this year on an early spring. I'm not sure who "all 3" are though. Willy, Phil...?
  
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  by mysticdeliria on February 4th, 2007
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How often are the Groundhogs right? Should I be hopeful for an early spring this year?

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How often are the Groundhogs right? Should I be hopeful for an early spring this year?

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