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Bin Laden is Dead. Can we get out of Afghanistan now?

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  • by MrWitch on May 2nd, 2011

    MrWitch

    Only if you want to be back there in 20 or 30 years.

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    • What can we accomplish in the meantime?

    • What can be accomplished in the meantime is the prevention of the need to return in 20 or 30 years time.

      Bin Laden was a figurehead and little more. The various organisations he had ties with will not be noticably impacted by his death. It may cause a bit of infighting if there's a bit of a mad rush to be a replacement, but otherwise little will change in the short term.

      In the long term his death will inevitably affect the ability of these organisations to recruit, but how much is debatable. Still, if only a few thousand think twice before believing islamist propoganda, that's a minor victory.

      Bin Laden used to be a logistical, economic and political help to Al Qaeda, but that was in the 1990s. It is doubtful he has been much more than a terrorist consultant, advisor and figurehead for years. He has, however (so far as anyone knows) been giving 'final decisions' on terrorist actions.

      What happens when police arrest a significant drug dealer? The police know they are opening up a mountain of work for themselves, as there will probably be turf wars, and after a bit an unknown will rise to take the place of the arrested.

      Same sort of thing may well happen.

      It's a conflict that's being won, but slowly. Removal of any individual of importance is to be applauded, but let's not get ahead of ourselves. This man was a financial and 'spiritual' leader for these nutters, but there are others whose job is to take on logistical duties, so the ability to cause trouble is not much reduced with Bin Laden's death.

      Leave the area and watch from afar as the basic democracy in Afghanistan is torn down, the Taliban replace it and extend their influence into north Pakistan. Leave it long enough, and you may well have a Taliban influenced government in Pakistan with a nuclear switch to play with on your hands.

      Being world policeman is a pain in the arse, but it's sometimes necessary.

      MrWitch

      by MrWitch on May 2nd, 2011

    • That is a thoughtful answer. I have some disagreements with it, but it is an articulate answer and I'm sure you are speaking the opinion of a great many people.

      So thank you.

    • You're more than welcome :)

      MrWitch

      by MrWitch on May 2nd, 2011

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